The New Order. Its Coming!
We live in a world that is singularly dominated by a thirteen trillion dollar economy. When the markets tumble in the Mecca of Capitalism, the whole world is engulfed in a pall of gloom. Considering that the second largest economy, Japan, is less than one fourth the size of US’, it probably seems reasonable. Only on the face of it, and not if one takes a nice long look at the proverbial larger picture.
Human civilization has been witness to countless shifts in balance of power, changes in socio-economic systems and territorial boundaries. Throughout history there have been various races, dynasties and cultures that have dominated world trade at different points in time and reached great milestones in development. People in some of the earliest documented civilizations, viz.,are our very own Indus Valley Civilization (3300 BC), the wheel-inventing Mesopotamian Civilization (4000 BC), the marvelously versatile Egyptian Civilization (3200 BC) and of course, the mystical Orientals and Mayans (1500 BC), lived complete lives. Different, yes, but complete.
So, the world knew how to live way before Christopher Columbus discovered America in 1498 CE. Humans understood defense, math, science, engineering and astronomy way before the industrial revolution turned it all around to create the new socio-economic order that we supposedly cannot live without - Capitalism. While I am in no way belittling the achievement of the human race in the past three centuries, all I ask is that due consideration be given to the fact that 300 years is only one twentieth the span of documented human civilization (not human existence). It looks like a big deal only because we live in these times, not because it actually is.
We need to look at the supposed economic crisis facing the world, currently, in this perspective. Granted that all countries need to start looking at new markets for their goods and services when the US declines, but that’s what we’ve done through the ages, for God’s sake! China is expected be a larger economy than the US ever was, by 2025, and India is expected to be a close second a few years after. All of this has got to start somewhere… Like maybe, now…?
Ok, too many facts. Reads nothing like a post of mine. Now onto fancy theories…
I’m not at all a fan of capitalism, as is plainly obvious, but what options do we have. Winston Churchill rightly put it: “The disadvantage of capitalism is the unequal distribution of wealth, the disadvantage of socialism is the equal distribution of poverty”. When the flag bearers of capitalism go down, it is highly unlikely that their successors will pick up the pieces and rebuild the same old monsters.
Some trends forebode the new order that might come to be:
(i) Nuclear energy has ensured that no one can actually afford to piss off anyone else, unless we fancy blowing each other off of the face of the earth. Hence we can safely rule out large scale military conquests.
(ii) Organizations across the world are “integrating” backwards and forwards, upwards and downwards, and in any which way they can. The message is clear and simple: everyone needs everyone else. The plethora of trade and economic co-operation agreements reinforce the same message.
(iii) Given the overwhelming power that has been wielded by the US and UN in making countries, ethnic and political groups tow their line, there seems to be not much room for legitimate claim to power if the UN does not agree that the claim is quite so legitimate. China will behave no differently when it rises. There will be large sections of populations who will feel marginalized and hence revolt against such impositions, giving rise to “terrorism” as a parallel order and the only “real enemy”.
(iv) Mankind will continue to explore the universe, and what will come out of it is anybody’s guess. But if it is anything like what we see in the movies, individual nations will be ill-equipped to handle the ramifications of such adventurous explorations.
At a more subliminal level, the complete disregard to the fact that a human being is essentially a spiritual being is my biggest crib with Capitalism and that is also why I believe it will fall. And there’s a strong reason why the countries with ancient cultures will rise again. It is to do with the spiritual grounding that regards all material pursuits as purely secondary. It is one thing to be aware that material pursuits do not a contented life make, but a totally different issue to actually have avenues to explore and revel in spiritual quests. Avenues that provide a foundation for its people to draw the strength and will to brave odds, including decades of hostile occupation and brutal invasions. Avenues that western cultures lack, hence shaking a non-existent core with a simple strike on two tall buildings. After all, the promise of the American dream can hardly be called a cultural tradition and can only get you that far!
Ancient wisdom shuns one up-manship. Little wonder, then, that the world is unwittingly moving towards a kind of co-existence that will reap common benefits, enjoy them together and fight common enemies. If there’s another “world war”, it’ll be with global terrorists or invaders from you know where.
The way I see it, competition will give way to co-operation. Development will be shared. So will responsibility. Individual strengths will translate to collective might. Political systems will remain, but politicians will lead transparent, accountable lives, given the profusion of media and information systems. Individuals will be more equal than they have ever been, more powerful as a people than they ever imagined, more aware of themselves and others and yet more tolerant.
These will be the cornerstones of the new order.
But for how long? And what comes after?
